Seminar- Ioannis Chalkiadakis, ESC Rennes

Event Date: 

Wednesday, October 5, 2022 - 3:30pm to 4:30pm

Event Location: 

  • HSSB 1173
 
Title: Text-based Sentiment Modelling with Multi-Timescale Time-Series Processes
Abstract:
This talk will present an econometrics time-series regression model for end-of-day cryptocurrency investor sentiment. We will start with what we believe constitutes challenges in Natural Language Processing for statistics, econometrics and social sciences research, before presenting our statistical framework for text-based time-series and sentiment signals construction. We will then proceed to demonstrate how we can jointly model text and finance data sampled at multiple timescales, while accounting for stylised features - in particular, long memory. In doing so, we will present our model which comprises Autoregressive Distributed-lag and Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) components. We will show a novel application of the Koyck transform (Koyck L. M., 1954) in a MIDAS setting, which provides tractability when the number of distributed lags tends to infinity. Finally, we will show how we resort to instrumental variable regression to successfully address the estimation issues arising after the application of the MIDAS-Koyck transform.
 
Bio: Dr. Ioannis Chalkiadakis is currently a post-doctoral researcher at the Rennes School of Business, France, working on Natural Language Processing and the modelling of agricultural commodities markets. At the core of his current research are statistical and machine learning methods for processing of text data, with a focus on computational efficiency and interpretability, which are indispensable for multidisciplinary applications in social sciences, finance and the legal sector.
 
Ioannis Chalkiadakis, ESC Rennes