Pierre-Oliver Goffard (UCSB)

Event Date: 

Wednesday, October 12, 2016 -
3:30pm to 5:00pm

Event Date Details: 

Refreshments served at 3:15pm

Event Location: 

  • Sobel Seminar Room; South Hall 5607F
  • Department Seminar Series

Abstract: Many problems in stochastic modeling come down to study the crossing time of a certain stochastic process through a given boundary, lower or upper. Typical fields of application are in risk theory, epidemic modeling, queueing, reliability and sequential analysis. The purpose of this talk is to present a method to determine boundary crossing probabilities linked to stochastic point processes having the order statistic property. A very well known boundary crossing result is revisited, a detailed proof is given. the same arguments may be used to derive results in trickier situations. We further discuss the practical implications of this classical result and if there is still some time left, some duality features might be presented.